Caspar
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- Sep 6, 2022
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To start, I don't think there'll be a civil war nor a revolution. The cause is simply myopia - both mine and people's generally; to paraphrase Machiavelli, people generally don't believe in change unless they've had solid experience of it first. In this way, these populist movements are as easy to go as they are to come, and they'll always lack the backbone to go through with it, because people are accustomed to being ruled over. As for civil war, I see this as quite unlikely; unlike the Roman Empire we don't have an armed force that is accustomed to special privileges and stipends from the government and we don't have local leaders to whom people are accustomed to giving their loyalty - local government is universally considered a kind of joke. The government has the initiative in any situation wherein you'd want to rally behind someone or something; in the time it'd take you to rally, they'd already be able to subvert you - the only way things could work out is cosmic incompetence on their part. The first rule of chess I was taught was that you always assume your opponent is going to make the correct move in a given situation, the second was that the whole of strategy is the art of deception.
Perhaps, as with the birth of a new religion, as Christianity was to Rome, this might resolve the problem, but people are cynical of superstitious claims doubled over on the aforementioned myopia, so do you see the coming? Neither do I.
My take, besides there not being any civil war of any stripe? If you dislike modernity, think of yourself as a Jew in a world where you've been scattered to the four winds. This dissolute, nascent proto-people needs to preserve itself and learn to recognize its own. In some sense, this is a self-fulfilling request; those whose spirits are 'gleaming as sky-shorn steel' will 'be as they are' and find their way no matter the words or they'll be swallowed by the beast. I do think the first condition to a real future is to possess a poet's spirit, a dancer's feet, and resolve in the tragic view of life. If you look on the future dourly, I would say to make merry and be confident, for fate is so very providential and good fortune loves those who are a celebration of the Earth!
Edit: attached a link
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